Fantasy hockey breakouts and how to value players in new pla

Fantasy hockey breakouts and how to value players in new pla

Postautor: lucky » 26 wrz 2017, o 09:46

A key to striking gold in fantasy is reading the signs. Every Orioles Youth Jersey roster won't have Connor McDavid on it, so savvy fantasy players need to locate hidden value. Good places to start include potential breakout candidates and players who landed on a new team in the offseason. A "breakout," for fantasy purposes or otherwise, isn't precisely defined, but it is certainly a term we see a lot of in the sports world. But what exactly constitutes a breakout? For the purposes of identifying potential breakouts for the 2017-18 NHL season, we are looking for players who, for the most part, are being drafted about where they should be, but then if everything breaks right, could exceed that draft value by at least 50 ranking spots and sustain that value going forward. The idea is to target players who give you a solid statistical floor, haven't reached their ceiling and are likely to improve their floor for future seasons. Given that set of criteria, here's a handful of players who could truly break out this season, along with a look at how to upgrade or downgrade seven players who will don a new jersey for the 2017-18 season. Still just 22 years old, Barkov should be ready to step into prime time this season. That's right, despite the flashes of brilliance we've seen from Barkov, he still hasn't truly broken through as a fantasy hockey asset. His average draft position (ADP) so far this preseason sits at 81.5. Injuries haven't helped his development path, as his top mark these past two seasons has been 66 games played. While Jaromir Jagr appears to be out of the mix this season as Barkov's regular linemate, the Panthers still Jon Singleton Youth have plenty of talent to roll alongside their No. 1 center, including his former Finnish league linemate (briefly as it was) Henrik Haapala. On a path to be an elite difference maker in the league, Barkov has the right amount of experience to take his game to the next level this season. With 24 goals and 25 assists in his debut season, Aho will be looking to avoid a sophomore slump and build on his potential this season. With an ADP of 112.9, Aho is being drafted for a repeat of last season (he finished 112th on the ESPN Player Rater among skaters last season). But when his ice time started getting dialed up toward the end of last season, Aho responded. In the month of March, he managed 13 points in 17 games while averaging 17:36 in ice time. For all of last season, Aho averaged only 16:47 in ice time. Aho will have every opportunity to earn more time, but it is not guaranteed to him. The Hurricanes have some depth this season, and Aho is still only 20 years old. If he comes close to 18:30 or 19:00 in average time on ice by playing on the top line and power play, you'll see the counting stats push him to a near-elite level. By all accounts, Guentzel had himself a season to remember in 2016-17. Scoring 42 points in 33 games as an AHL rookie would have probably been mission accomplished for a lot of young players, but Guentzel was called up to the NHL and plopped down on a line with Sidney Crosby. He proceeded to add another 33 points in 40 regular season games with the Penguins before reeling off 21 more points (13 of them goals) in 25 playoff games en route to the Stanley Cup. Yes, the extreme success at the NHL level has a direct correlation to playing with Crosby, but there is no reason to think Guentzel won't remain on Crosby's wing this season -- and don't forget that the door prize is named Evgeni Malkin. While Shayne Gostisbehere edged out Provorov as the Flyers top scoring defenseman, Gostisbehere used a huge advantage in power play time to barely win the battle. At even strength, Gostisbehere contributed five goals and 11 assists, while Provorov managed six goals and 19 assists. Provorov isn't going anywhere, so the Flyers may be content to leave things as they are for another season of development for their 20-year-old stud. However, if he overtakes Gostisbehere as the top dog on the power play at some point, he would become a 50-plus-point defenseman. And Provorov doesn't even check-in among the top 200 for ADP this preseason. Lehner didn't disappoint in his first workhorse Trevor Plouffe Youth goaltender campaign at the NHL level. A .920 save percentage is no joke, but a goals against average of 2.68 didn't help Lehner in the wins column, where he only posted 23. The three stats taken together paint the picture of a goaltender doing a damn good job of keeping a team on the fringe of competitiveness in more games than perhaps it should have been, but ultimately losing a majority of them. With his teammates getting another year older and another year wiser in front of him, and aided by some offseason improvements, Lehner could potentially break into the No. 1 fantasy goaltender tier this season. He's currently the 26th goalie off the board with an ADP of 181.4. Not really on the redraft radar right now (not among the top 200 ADP), Raanta is in a great position to at least take some strides toward a breakout. Raanta posted elite-level ratios for the New York Rangers last season, as he was pressed into more than just backup duty thanks to injuries to Henrik Lundqvist. The Arizona Coyotes are on a similar path to that of the burgeoning Toronto Maple Leafs, with the potential to be only one year behind the Leafs. Last season, Frederik Andersen rode a team breakout by the Leafs to glory as a No. 2 fantasy goaltender. Raanta is in position to do the same this season, all he needs is for some of the team's deep class of rookies and youngsters to catch on this season.
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