Fantasy intel for all 32 NFL teams ahead of Week 4

Fantasy intel for all 32 NFL teams ahead of Week 4

Postautor: lucky » 27 wrz 2017, o 04:08

Below are notes covering each of the NFL's 32 teams Authentic Pat O'Donnell Youth Jersey from a fantasy perspective. Use these tidbits to make the best waiver-wire, trade and lineup decisions for Week 4. Be sure to check back each week of the season for a new version of the Fantasy 32. Throughout this piece, I'll be referencing "OTD." OTD stands for opportunity-adjusted touchdowns. It is a statistic that weighs every carry/target and converts the data into one number that indicates a player's scoring opportunity. For example, if a player has an OTD of 3.0, it means that a league-average player who saw the same number of carries/targets in the same area of the field would have scored three touchdowns. Andre Ellington was the lead man in the Cardinals' backfield on Monday night. The passing-down specialist was on the field for 49 snaps, compared to 31 for Chris Johnson. Ellington carried the ball only five times but caught five of eight targets for 59 yards. In Week 2 -- the first game in which David Johnson was out -- Ellington was on the field for 68 percent of the team's pass plays and was targeted five times. He doesn't sport a particularly high ceiling, but if Ellington sustains this heavy workload in the Arizona passing game, he will flirt with flex value in 12-team leagues. Especially with Chris Johnson (23 carries, 61 yards) struggling with effectiveness, Ellington is the top fantasy Orlando Franklin Womens Jersey play in the Arizona backfield. The Falcons may be 3-0, but quarterback Matt Ryan hasn't been nearly as productive as he was during Atlanta's historic 2016 season. Ryan threw for 38 touchdowns last year but has four in three games this season (a pace of 21.3). Ryan threw three interceptions on Sunday after totaling seven last year. Fantasy's No. 2 quarterback sits 14th this season. The Falcons' offense as a whole is averaging 2.7 touchdowns per game after posting 3.7 per game in 2016. Some regression to the mean was inevitable here and there is some reason for hope. Ryan's completion rate (69 percent) and yards per attempt (9.3) are down only slightly and his receivers continue to help him out by not dropping passes (one this year) and gaining a ton after the catch (7.0 RAC). Ryan remains a mid-pack QB1 option. Mike Wallace entered this season having finished six of the past seven seasons as a top-25 fantasy wide receiver. At least so far, "seven out of eight" seems unlikely. Wallace has exactly one catch in each of his first three games this season. He's registered 21 yards and no touchdowns on nine targets. Wallace has actually been on the field for a larger share of the team's pass plays this season (85 percent), but his target share is down from 18 percent to 11 percent. Wallace is a strong bet for an increased workload moving forward, but the Ravens' offense is struggling to find the end zone for the third season Will Tye Youth Jersey in a row. Wallace is worth rostering, but he shouldn't be in lineups until his production increases. Tyrod Taylor diced up a tough Denver defense on Sunday. The former Hokie completed 20 of 26 passes for 213 yards and two touchdowns. Taylor, who was fantasy's No. 8 scoring quarterback last season, has scored four touchdowns in three games and has exactly eight carries in all three outings. Despite a tough opening slate that included matchups with Denver and Carolina, Taylor sits 13th among quarterbacks in fantasy points. A much lighter schedule moving forward should allow Taylor a return to the QB1 ranks. He's a quality add on waivers this week. Cam Newton is no longer a viable starting fantasy quarterback. Newton scored 50 touchdowns and was fantasy's top scorer at the position in 2015, but it's been all downhill from there. He finished 17th last season and has yet to post a weekly finish better than 17th though three games in 2017. On Sunday, Newton was set up in a dream scenario at home against a Saints defense that was lit up in Weeks 1 and 2 and was without three of its top four corners. Newton responded with 167 passing yards, 16 rushing yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Carolina has a light schedule this year, but Newton isn't throwing the ball well and has only 46 rushing yards on the year. His average depth of throw has dipped from 10.6 yards to 8.3, which has allowed a completion percentage boost from 52 percent to 61 percent, but his YPA has actually dropped by 0.1. Drop Newton in shallow leagues and make sure he's on benches in deeper leagues at New England in Week 4. Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen have combined to handle 97 (or 67 percent) of the Bears' 145 offensive touches this season. Yeah, that's high. In fact, Howard, Cohen and fellow tailback Benny Cunningham finished first, second and third, respectively, on the team in receiving yardage during Sunday's win over Pittsburgh. Deonte Thompson was the only Bears wide receiver with a catch in the game; whereas Howard and Cohen combined for 264 yards on 44 touches. There aren't many situations where two running backs from the same team are viable fantasy starters, but the heavy usage of Howard and Cohen makes them both top-25 options moving forward. Howard is a fringe RB1 and Cohen more of a flex.
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